We aren’t compulsive gamblers — at least not all three of us at 1090 The Fan and The Steve Sandmeyer Show — but we do like to make picks, so that includes those of the wagering kind.
Las Vegas sets the numbers, but we dissect them. Steve Sandmeyer, Bill Swartz and Jason A. Churchill each describe what they see taking place at MetLife Stadium Sunday, through a slew of prop bets, and a final pick for the winner of the game.
Will either team score within first six minutes of game?
Sandmeyer: No — feel out process, early game jitters, each team punts
Swartz: Yes
Churchill: Yes
Which team will score first? (regardless of WHEN it occurs)
Sandmeyer: The Hawks are notorious slow starters offensively
Swartz: Seattle
Churchill: Seahawks, set up by a forced turnover or special teams play
First score of the game will be:
Touchdown -150
Any other +120
Sandmeyer: Any other score
Swartz: Any other
Churchill: Touchdown
How long will the longest-yardage TD in the game be?
Over (-130)/Under (even): 43.5 yards
Sandmeyer: Over
Swartz: Under
Churchill: Under
Will either team score three straight times without opponents scoring?
Sandmeyer: No
Swartz: No
Churchill: Yes
Will either team score in the last 3 1/2 minutes of the game (overtime included)
Sandmeyer: Yes, but it won’t figure in the outcome of the game
Swartz: Yes
Churchill: No
Team with the most penalty yards
Sandmeyer: Hawks, by a mile
Swartz: Seattle
Churchill: Seattle
Total Sacks by both teams
Over (+110)/Under(-140): 4.5
Sandmeyer: Under — Manning gets the ball out too quickly and Wilson is too elusive.
Swartz: Over
Churchill: Under — Denver’s pass rush is merely OK and Manning would rather throw a duck out of bounds
Team to score last
Sandmeyer: Hawks — to ensure a double-digit victory
Swartz: Broncos
Churchill: Seattle on a Steven Hauschka field goal to ice the game
Total Touchdowns scored in the game
Over(+115)/Under(-145): 5.5
Sandmeyer: Under — a few more field goals than touchdowns early, plus five TDs is a lot that still would go under the total.
Swartz: Over
Churchill: Over
Largest lead of the game (after PAT)
Over(-160)/Under(+130): 13.5
Sandmeyer: Under — I can see a two-score lead but not a two touchdown lead
Swartz: Under
Churchill: Over — yep.
Total turnover by both teams combined
Over (+135)/Under(-135): 3
Sandmeyer: Over — the Hawks will create three by themselves
Swartz: Over
Churchill: Over — I see at least one on special teams
Will there be a TD scored by defense or special teams?
Sandmeyer: Yep — he’ll wear number 11, plus the Broncos return guy is pretty special, too …
Swartz: Yes
Churchill: No
Total punts by both teams
Over(-115)/Under)-115): 9
Sandmeyer: Under — limited possessions, plus eight punts is a lot yet remains an ‘under’ play here
Swartz: Under
Churchill: Over
Total NET yards by both teams
Over(-115)/Under(-115): 702.5
Sandmeyer: Hmmm … let’s go Under
Swartz: Over
Churchill: Under
Russell Wilson total passing yards
Over (-115)/Under(-115): 214.5
Sandmeyer: Over — in a big way
Swartz: Over
Churchill: Over — I’ll be shocked if Wilson doesn’t hit the 250 mark
Russell Wilson total completions
Over(-130)/Under(Even): 16.5
Sandmeyer: Over
Swartz: Over
Churchill: Over — he had 16 in the NFC Championship game in a game where Marshawn Lynch was a major factor on the ground throughout — no-brainer here.
Russell Wilson total pass attempts
Over(-115)/Under(-115): 27.5
Sandmeyer: Under
Swartz: Under
Churchill: Over — I’m thinking 18-20 completions and 28-30 attempts for 250-290 yards
Russell Wilson total rushing yards
Over(-115)/Under(-115): 33.5
Sandmeyer: Under
Swartz: Over
Churchill: Over
Russell Wilson longest rush from scrimmage
Over(-120)/Under(-110): 12.5
Sandmeyer: Over
Swartz: Under
Churchill: Over
Russell Wilson longest completion
Over(-115)/Under(-115): 38.5
Sandmeyer: Over
Swartz: Under
Churchill: Over — more than once, too
Russell Wilson total TD passes
Over(-400)/Under(+300): 0.5
Sandmeyer: Over
Swartz: Over
Churchill: Over
Russell Wilson total TD passes
Over(E)/Under(-130): 1.5
Sandmeyer: Over
Swartz: Over
Churchill: Over
Marshawn Lynch total rushing yards
Over/Under: 94.5
Sandmeyer: Over — he’s “about that action, boss”
Swartz: Under
Churchill: Over, after a decent first half he breaks out in the fourth quarter and gets over the century mark
Marshawn Lynch total rushing attempts
Over/Under: 21.5
Sandmeyer: Over
Swartz: Over
Churchill: Over
Percy Harvin total receiving yards
Over/Under: 48.5
Sandmeyer: Over
Swartz: Over
Churchill: Over
Harvin total receptions
Over/Under: 3.5
Sandmeyer: Over
Swartz: Over
Churchill: Over
Harvin longest reception
Over/Under: 20.5
Sandmeyer: Over
Swartz: Over
Churchill: Way over — it only takes one wrong blink by a defender and … poof!
Golden Tate total receptions
Over/Under: 3.5
Sandmeyer: Over
Swartz: Under
Churchill: Over
Tate total receiving yards
Over/Under: 50.5
Sandmeyer: Over
Swartz: Over
Churchill: Over
Baldwin total receptions
Over/Under: 3.5
Sandmeyer: Over
Swartz: Over
Churchill: Over
Baldwin total receiving yards
Over/Under: 42.5
Sandmeyer: Over
Swartz: Over
Churchill: Over
Who will have more receptions:
Kearse, Baldwin, Tate, Miller, Harvin or Willson?
Sandmeyer: Tate — more reps, more targets
Swartz: Tate
Churchill: Kearse — he’ll be the No. 3 and 4 WR in most sets and Denver’s nickel and dime DBs are among the worst in football
How many FGs made by Steven Hauschka?
Over/Under: 1.5
Sandmeyer: Over — HAU$CHKA!
Swartz: Over
Churchill: Over
Who will lead the Seahawks in sacks?
Avril, Bennett, Clemons, McDonald or other?
Sandmeyer: Over — random hero.
Swartz: Clemons
Churchill: McDonald
Peyton Manning passing yards
Over/Under: 287.5
Sandmeyer: Over
Swartz: Over
Churchill: Over
Manning pass attempts
Over/Under: 41.5
Sandmeyer: Over — in a loss
Swartz: Under
Churchill: Over
Manning pass completions
Over/Under: 26.5
Sandmeyer: Over — in a loss
Swartz: Over
Churchill: Over
Knowshon Moreno total rushing yards
Over/Under: 59.5
Sandmeyer: Over — in a loss
Swartz: Over
Churchill: Under
Montee Ball total rushing yards
Over/Under: 35.5
Sandmeyer: Under
Swartz: Under
Churchill: Under
Demaryius Thomas total receiving yards
Over/Under: 75.5
Sandmeyer: Over — in a loss
Swartz: Under
Churchill: Over, as a result of fourth-quarter prevent-style Seattle defense with a 10-point lead
Wes Welker total receiving yards
Over/Under: 57.5
Sandmeyer: Over — in a loss
Swartz: Over
Churchill: Under
Eric Decker total receiving yards
Over/Under: 64.5
Sandmeyer: Over — in a loss
Swartz: Over
Churchill: Over
Julius Thomas total receiving yards
Over/Under: 53.5
Sandmeyer: Under — just because
Swartz: Under
Churchill: Under — Thomas is a poor run and pass blocker and the Broncos will find themselves in need of help in both areas early in the game, limiting Thomas’ snaps
Who will have more receiving yards, Jacob Tamme or Luke Willson?
Sandmeyer: Willson
Swartz: Willson
Churchill: Willson, on just three catches
Who will have more return yards, Percy Harvin or Trindon Holliday?
Sandmeyer: Holliday
Swartz: Holliday
Churchill: Harvin
More yards: Tate punt return yards or Moreno receiving?
Sandmeyer: Good question — Moreno receiving
Swartz: Tate return
Churchill: Tate return
Higher total: Harvin total all-purpose yards or combined total yards by Julius and Demaryius Thomas
Sandmeyer: Harvin!
Swartz: Harvin all purpose
Churchill: Harvin, and it won’t be close
Higher total: Seahawks rushing attempts or Peyton Manning completions
Sandmeyer: Manning completions
Swartz: Seahawks rush attempts
Churchill: Seahawks rush attempts, by a wide margin
Higher total: Wilson pass attempts or Manning completions
Sandmeyer: Manning
Swartz: Manning
Churchill: Wilson
Higher total: Broncos punts or Broncos scoring drives
Sandmeyer: Scoring drives. Field goals count, too
Swartz: Broncos punts
Churchill: Scoring drives
Higher total: Seahawks field goals made or turnovers forced
Sandmeyer: Tough one — slight lean toward field goals
Swartz: Field goals
Churchill: Field goals
Higher total: Total points scored both teams or kickoff temperature (farenheit)
Sandmeyer: Total points
Swartz: Total points… not centigrade
Churchill: Total points
Seattle Seahawks +2
Denver Broncos -2
Sandmeyer: Wrong team favored. Hawks — straight up
Swartz: Hawks cover
Churchill: Seahawks, straight up
Seahawks v. Broncos
Over/Under: 48
Sandmeyer: Over
Swartz: Over
Churchill: Way over
- Jason A. Churchill, 1090 The Fan
(TM and © Copyright 2014 CBS Radio Inc. and its relevant subsidiaries. CBS RADIO and EYE Logo TM and Copyright 2014 CBS Broadcasting Inc. Used under license. All Rights Reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed.)
